The aftermath of the April 19th Bitcoin halving has sparked varied narratives within the cryptocurrency community.
While historical price data post-halving events tends to lean bullish, the trajectory of Bitcoin en climb to $75K, $100K, and beyond hinges on several factors, including whale and shark behavior, the circulation of dormant coins, and the network’s realized profits versus losses.
📊 The April 19th #Bitcoin #erditzea has come and gone, and it has created quite the split narrative. Although the crowd is leaning #bulisha based on history’s price performance after these events occur, the ability for $ BTC to climb to $75K, $100K, and beyond will largely depend… pic.twitter.com/1AL97h2KZ7
- Santiment (@santimentfeed) Apirilaren 24, 2024
Analysis from intotheblock reveals that long-term Bitcoin holders have begun selling off their holdings, with the trend accelerating since January and peaking in late March. While this may raise concerns initially, it aligns with historical market cycles and suggests there is still ample time remaining compared to previous cycles.
Observe The Trend👇
👉Long-term Bitcoin holders typically begin to sell off their holdings at the onset of a bull market and continue this trend through and beyond the cycle’s peak.
👉Data indicates that these seasoned holders initiated their sales in January and accelerated in… pic.twitter.com/wmbujhS0Cx
- IntoTheBlock (@intotheblock) Apirilaren 25, 2024
However, analyst Ali Martinez points out two sell signals on the Bitcoin 12-hour chart: a death cross between the 50 and 100 SMA and a red 9 candlestick from the TD Sequential. Should Bitcoin fall below $63,300, the market could witness further declines to $61,000 or even $59,000.
Two sell signals were presented on the #Bitcoin 12-hour chart: A death cross between the 50 and 100 SMA and a red 9 candlestick from the TD Sequential.
If $ BTC falls below $63,300, brace for possible dives to $61,000 or even $59,000. pic.twitter.com/24A3YtbgTb
— Ali (@ali_charts) Apirilaren 25, 2024
Bitcoin BTC ETF Volume Still Robust Despite Dull Market Movements
On a positive note, Bitcoin ETF volume remains robust, recently reaching its highest daily collective volume in four weeks at $3.62 billion. This activity, encompassing ETFs like $GBTC, $IBIT, and $FBTC, underscores a bullish sentiment for the cryptocurrency sector, providing a source of confidence amidst unpredictable market movements.
📊 #BitcoinETF volume is alive and well, recently reaching its highest daily collective volume in 4 weeks ($3.62B), when measuring activity from $ GBTC, $IBIT, $FBTC, $ARKB, $BTCO, eta $ HODL. With markets moving sideways unpredictably over these past 5 weeks, consider the health… pic.twitter.com/dMxpXH5019
- Santiment (@santimentfeed) Apirilaren 24, 2024
However, spotonchain data reveals a concerning trend with Bitcoin ETF net inflow for April 24, 2024, summing at -$121 million. This shift to negative inflow comes after three consecutive trading days of positivity, indicating potential market volatility.
🚨 $ BTC #ETFak Net Inflow Apr 24, 2024: -$121M!
• The net inflow turned negative again after being positive for 3 trading days.
• #BlackRock iShares Bitcoin Trust $IBIT had zero flow, ending the streak of 72 consecutive trading days with inflows.
• The single-day outflow of… pic.twitter.com/WbyJuvy6iD
— Spot On Chain (@spotonchain) Apirilaren 25, 2024
Notably, the single-day outflow of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust rose to $130.4 million, nearly double the previous day’s value.
In summary, while bullish sentiments prevail based on historical trends and ETF activity, caution is advised given the potential impact of sell signals and negative ETF inflows on Bitcoin’s price trajectory.
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Source: https://nulltx.com/bitcoin-halving-aftermath-analyzing-market-sentiment-and-predictions/